Posachedwa, Bitcoin ikuwoneka kuti ili pamavuto. Ngakhale mtengo wa Bitcoin ukuwoneka kuti ndiwosakhazikika kwambiri, ndalama zandalama zakhala zikuphatikizidwa m'masabata awiri apitawa, atagunda mwachidule madola 7,470. Kuyenda pakati pa madera okwera $ 6,000 ndi malo otsika a $ 7,000. Kenako, Bitcoin ipita kuti?
Kwa nthawi yayitali, anthu akhala akukayikira zakufunika kwamakampani azandalama. Adatchulapo liwiro la "kuchepa" kwa Bitcoin, ma Ethereum hacks, ndi "zolakwitsa" zina m'makampani, ponena kuti gulu lazamalonda ili alibe tsogolo. Komabe, mdziko lamakonoli, zochitika zachuma zikukula, makamaka ma cryptocurrensets, makamaka Bitcoin.
Malinga ndi lipoti lofalitsidwa ndi Bloomberg, Bitcoin ikupanga mphamvu pamsika waukulu wamphongo. Ripotilo linatsindika kuti 2020 idzakhala chaka chomwe Bitcoin idzakhala golidi wagolide. "Chaka chino ndiyeso yayikulu pakusintha kwa Bitcoin kukhala ndalama zosafunikira ngati golide, ndipo tikuyembekeza kuti ipambana mayeso awa."
Chiwerengero cha anthu omwe ali ndi chidwi ndi blockchain ndi cryptocurrency chikuwonjezeka
Malinga ndi kafukufuku yemwe a Paxful, msika wapadziko lonse wa P2P bitcoin, anthu aku America omwe amadziwa zamakampani awonetsa chidwi paukadaulo wa blockchain ndi ma cryptocurrensets. Gulu la anthu lino likuwonanso katundu wa digito ngati cholowa m'malo mwa ndalama "zachinyengo" zachikhalidwe.
Malinga ndi lipoti lofufuza lomwe lidatulutsidwa pa Epulo 23, ndalama zaku cryptocurrency zikukhwima ngati chuma. Pafupifupi 50% ya omwe amafunsidwa amakhulupirira kuti zochitika mwadzidzidzi munthawi yazachuma zikhala mwayi wothandizira anthu kusintha chidwi chawo ku Bitcoin ngati njira ina.
Malinga ndi kafukufukuyu, kugwiritsa ntchito kwambiri Bitcoin kumaphatikizapo zolipiritsa zenizeni (69.2%) komanso kuthana ndi kukwera kwamitengo ndi katangale (50.4%).
Artur Schaback, wamkulu wogwira ntchito komanso woyambitsa mnzake wa Paxful, adati poyankhulana: "Tiyenera kudziwa kuti anthu ambiri amakhulupirira kuti kukhazikitsidwa kwadziko lonse kudzakwaniritsidwa m'zaka 6 mpaka 10 zikubwerazi. M'malo mwake, ena omwe anafunsidwa amakhulupirira kuti yemweyo Bulu la cryptocurrency liphulika pakanthawi kochepa. Ndili ndi chiyembekezo pazomwe zakhala zikuchitika koyamba, chifukwa chake ndikuganiza kuti monga mafakitale, tiyenera kuyesetsa kupanga zinthu zambiri ndikugwiritsa ntchito zinthu zambiri pazochitika zenizeni pamoyo. Thandizani kufulumizitsa kukhazikitsidwa kwachilendo. ”
Potengera mliri wa korona watsopano wapadziko lonse, a Paxful amakhulupirira kuti ndalama zonse za cryptocurrency komanso zikhalidwe zachikhalidwe zikuyesedwa, zomwe zikufotokozera pamlingo winawake chifukwa chomwe mtengo wa BTC ukukwera chifukwa BTC imakhala malo achitetezo.
Schaback adatsimikiza kuti poyerekeza ndi kale, kuzindikira anthu za Bitcoin mosakayikira kwakwera tsopano. "Ndikukumbukira pomwe tidayamba, palibe amene ankadziwa za Bitcoin ndipo amaganiza za" Bitcoin ". Komabe, kuchokera pazotsatira za kafukufukuyu chaka chatha komanso chaka chatha, anthu ambiri amva za Bitcoin. Anthu ambiri amayiphatikiza ndi malingaliro osiyanasiyana monga ndalama ndi ukadaulo. Tidakali ndi ulendo wautali, koma ndikufunitsitsa kuti ndiwone zinthu zambiri zomwe zithandizire kupeza zambiri. ”
Ponena za zolepheretsa kukhazikitsidwa, kafukufukuyu adatsindikanso kuti 53.8% ya omwe amafunsidwa amakhulupirira kuti kusowa kwa chidziwitso choyenera kumalepheretsa kufalikira kwa ma cryptocurrensets.
Malinga ndi lipotilo, omwe anafunsidwa amakhulupirira kuti zinthu zazikulu zomwe zimathandizira kukulitsa kuchuluka kwa kukhazikitsidwa ndi migodi yoyendera mafoni, kuchira kwa ma altcoins, kugulitsa mabungwe ndi kugwiritsa ntchito ukadaulo wa blockchain.
A COX a Paxful anathirira ndemanga pamavuto amtsogolo kuti: "Vuto lalikulu ndikudziwitsabe za ndalama za cryptocurrency zomwe. Tikudziwa kuti anthu ambiri amvapo za izi, koma ndikuganiza kuti ndi chifukwa cholakwika, monga kutchova juga ndi chinyengo cha Level. Chifukwa cha izi, omvera ambiri amakhalabe ndi mantha. Monga makampani, ili ndiye vuto lathu lalikulu kwambiri. ”

Tsogolo la Bitcoin likupitilirabe
Pambuyo pokumana ndi kutsika kwakuchuluka kwamalonda m'masabata angapo apitawa, kuchuluka kwa malonda amtsogolo kwa Bitcoin kwayamba kubwerera. Malinga ndi zomwe CME yaposachedwa, zomwe zidagulitsidwa zidakwera mwezi watha malinga ndi maakaunti omwe agwira ntchito, ndikukhala ndi 161% pachaka.
Malinga ndi malipoti, woyang'anira ku US, Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) adatsimikiza kuti Medallion Fund (Medal Fund) motsogozedwa ndi Renaissance Technologies tsopano itha kulowa mumsika wa Bitcoin m'tsogolo. Thumba ili limadziwika chifukwa chobwezera bwino ndalama mpaka pano chaka chino.
Malingana ndi mfundoyi, Renaissance Technology ipereka mgwirizano wamtsogolo wa CME Gulu, CME ndi m'modzi mwa omwe amapereka ndalama zamtsogolo.
Ndalama za $ 10 biliyoni za hedge fund pansi pa Renaissance zakhala zikudziwika posachedwa pazofalitsa. Ngakhale kachilombo katsopano kameneka kadzetsa misika yapadziko lonse mu chipwirikiti mosalekeza, thumba lakwanitsa kukula kwa 24% mpaka pano chaka chino. Malinga ndi CNBC, kuchuluka kwa ndalama za Medal Fund kuli pafupifupi US $ 10 biliyoni, pafupifupi RMB 70 biliyoni. Poyerekeza kuchuluka kwa madola mabiliyoni, ndalama za chaka chino zili pafupifupi madola 3.9 biliyoni aku US, ofanana ndi ma yuan pafupifupi 30 biliyoni; itachotsa ndalama zoyendetsera ntchito ndikugawana magwiridwe antchito, thumba limapeza phindu lokwanira pafupifupi madola 2.4 biliyoni aku US, ofanana ndi ma yuan pafupifupi 17 biliyoni.
Malinga ndi Wall Street Journal, kuyambira pa Epulo 14, thumba la medallion lili ndi zokolola zochulukirapo za 39% chaka chino. Ngakhale pamsika wa Marichi "Great Falls" omwe Buffett sanawonepo m'moyo wake, a Medal Fund adalandirabe 9.9%. M'mwezi womwewo, S & P 500 idagwa 12.51%, ndipo Dow idagwa 13.74%, zonse zikumenya kuchepa kwakukulu pamwezi kuyambira Okutobala 2008.
Palibe kukayika kuti thumba la medallion ili, lomwe silinataye konse ndalama kuyambira pomwe lidakhazikitsidwa komanso limatha kupezanso ndalama zatsiku munthawi yamavuto azachuma, likuyimira kuzindikira kwa capital capital pamsika wa cryptocurrency, ndipo idzabweretsa phindu ku msika wamtsogolo wa CME Bitcoin. madzi.
Ndondomeko yochepetsera yopanda malire itha kuyambitsa chitetezo cha Bitcoin
Ngakhale kukwera kwamphamvu kwamitengo yazachuma, kuphatikiza ma cryptocurrensets, malingaliro azachuma padziko lonse lapansi amakhalabe odandaula. M'masabata asanu apitawa, antchito 26 miliyoni afunsira kusowa ntchito ku United States kokha. Pa mulingo wa kampani, makampani ofufuza akuyembekeza kuti kampaniyo itaya ndalama zankhaninkhani.
Chifukwa chake, sizosadabwitsa kuti mabanki akuluakulu ndi maboma padziko lonse lapansi ayesetsa kupulumutsa anthu, makampani, ndi makampani onse.
Pofuna kuthana ndi chiwopsezo chachuma chachuma chomwe United States idakumana nacho chifukwa cha mliriwu, Fed ili ndi "lingaliro lalikulu" lomwe silinachitikepo. Madzulo a Marichi 15, a Fed adachepetsa chiwongola dzanja mpaka zero ndipo adakhazikitsa pulogalamu yochepetsera US $ 700 biliyoni. Pa Marichi 17, Federal Reserve idakhazikitsa Commercial Paper Financing Facility (CPFF) ndi Primary Dealer Credit Mechanism (PDCF) kuti ipereke ndalama kwa omwe amapereka mapepala. Pa Marichi 23, Federal Reserve idapereka njira yopanda malire yochepetsera (QE) ndikuyamba "kugula" pafupifupi zonse zomwe zidagulitsidwa pamsika kupatula masheya omwe amapereka ndalama zokwanira pamsika.
Anthu ambiri amakhulupirira kuti zochitika zotsatizana za Fed zimangowonetsa kuopsa kwa zomwe zikuchitika ku US.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) idatsimikiziranso izi. Malinga ndi Nikkei Asia Review, ponena za anthu omwe amadziwa bwino nkhaniyi, Banki yaku Japan ikufuna kugula kopanda malire maboma aku Japan pofuna kulimbikitsa chuma. Ikuyembekezeranso kukulitsa pulogalamu yake yochepetsa zochulukirapo kuti igule kawiri mgwirizano wamakampani ndi pepala lazamalonda.
Ngakhale kuti United States yakhazikitsa pulogalamu yocheperako yogula ma bond, a Max Bronstein, omwe ali mgulu la mabungwe osungira ndalama ku Coinbase, adanenetsa kuti "zomwe zikuchitika tsopano zawonongeka."
Anthu ochulukirachulukira amakhulupirira kuti chuma chokhazikitsidwa komanso chochepa kwambiri cha crypto chingapindule ndi izi pamalonda osadziwika ndi minda yachuma poyerekeza ndi ndalama za mabanki apakati.
A Raoul Pal omwe anali wamkulu wa Goldman Sachs komanso manejala wa hedge fund adalongosola mu kope la Epulo la "Global Macro Investors" kuti akuganiza kuti titha kuwona "dongosolo lathu lazachuma likulephera" kapena "momwe chuma chikuyendera." “.
Bitcoin ipindula kwambiri ndikusintha kuchoka pamalamulo kupita kuzinthu zamagetsi. Ponena za Bitcoin, Pal adalemba kuti: "Iyi ndi njira yokhazikika, yodalirika, yotsimikizika, yotetezeka, yachuma komanso yowerengera ndalama. Tsogolo la dongosolo lathu lonse lazamalonda, ndalama zomwezo ndi njira yake yogwiritsira ntchito siziyimira pamenepo. "
Ananenanso kuti Bitcoin ikuyenera kufikira $ 100,000 m'zaka ziwiri zikubwerazi, ndipo ngakhale kutaya kapu ya $ 1 miliyoni pomwe malingaliro akulu asintha modabwitsa.
Pambuyo pa mfundo "yochepetsera malire", kodi Bitcoin idzakhalabe "malo otetezeka" panthawi yamavuto azachuma? Pankhaniyi, Mike Novogratz, CEO wa Galaxy Digital, adaneneranso kuti Bitcoin itha kutsatira golide ndi phindu lalikulu, makamaka chifukwa zinthu ziwirizi ndizosowa.
A Xu Yingkai, mnzake woyambitsa wa BlockVC, adati pa Weibo kuti Bitcoin ya 3,800 USD ndiyomwe ingakhale yotsika pamsika. Pambuyo pakuchepetsa kwa Bitcoin (miyezi 1-2 pambuyo pake), msikawo udayamba kupeza bwino. Kutha kwa theka kumamalizidwa, chifukwa chakumapeto kwa kuchepa kwa ndalama Kuchulukitsa kwa anthu ogwira ntchito m'migodi, koma msika wogulitsa watsiku ndi tsiku nawonso ukuwonjezeka kawiri pachaka, ndipo "kuphulika kwaimfa" kumayembekezereka kufooka pang'onopang'ono .
Komabe, anthu ena ogulitsa ntchitoyi adanena kuti "malo otetezedwa" ndi lingaliro lakale, koma poganizira kuti Bitcoin ili ndi msika waukulu ndipo kuchuluka kwake kumakhala kwamphamvu kwambiri kuposa mitundu ina yachikhalidwe, kufunikira kwamtsogolo kudzapitilizabe kukwera. Chifukwa chake, ngoziyo itatha, Bitcoin idzachira mwachangu kuposa chuma chaku America. Kuchokera pano, Bitcoin ikhoza kukhala ndi chiyembekezo chabwino, koma kuchokera pamsika wamakono, palibe choopsa chilichonse.
M'malo mwake, pambuyo pakupita kwakanthawi mu Bitcoin, mtengowu ndiwokongola kwambiri pakatikati komanso kwakanthawi, ndipo atha kukhala poyambira msika wang'ombe wotsatira.
Bitcoin ikusonkhanitsa mphamvu pamsika wamtsogolo wamphongo
Ripoti lofalitsidwa ndi Bloomberg linanena kuti Bitcoin ikupeza mphamvu pamsika wamphongo. Ngakhale mutu wankhaniyo udawonetsera momveka bwino- "Bitcoin Maturity Great Leap Forward". Bloomberg amakhulupirira kuti chaka chino Bitcoin ikamaliza mayeso ofunikira pakusintha kwa ndalama zosafunikira ngati golide.
Ripotilo linatchula zifukwa zingapo zomwe msika wa Bitcoin ukukula. Ripotilo linatsimikizanso kuti "ngati mbiri ingagwiritsidwe ntchito ngati chitsogozo, Bitcoin ikupeza mafuta ngati msika wamsika."
Kuphatikiza apo, Bloomberg adati Bitcoin ndi golide, zinthu ziwiri zotetezedwa m'maso mwa anthu, zikuyembekezeka kupindula kwambiri ndi chipwirikiti chamsika chaposachedwa chomwe chayambitsidwa ndi mliri wa korona watsopano.
Koma malinga ndi katswiri wodziwika bwino wa cryptocurrency, ngati Bitcoin ifika pamtengo winawake, zitha kuyambitsa msika, mwanjira ina, mtengo wamalonda udakwera kwambiri.
Loweruka lapitali, otsatira 200,000 a Twitter komanso wochita malonda wotchedwa CryptoYoda adatulutsa mndandanda wawo waposachedwa kwambiri wowunikira ukadaulo, momwe adafotokozera kuti msika wamsika wa Bitcoin umayamba kugwa chifukwa chokhazikitsidwa ndi mphete komanso mawonekedwe amapewa mabuku-koma kuphulika kwa Bitcoin kwa $ 7475 kuthana ndi izi, "kukakamiza zazifupi kuchotsa malo awo ndikulimbikitsa ofunitsitsa kugula malowa":
"Kuchita bwino pamlingo wotere kumapangitsa kuti pakhale chovala chachikulu, ndipo kuchuluka kwa ma oda ogula kumayendetsa bwino, makamaka ngati ogula alowa kale m'mbuyomu."
Zomwe akufuna kufotokoza ndikuti ngati Bitcoin ikadutsapo bwino, zitha kutsimikizira kuti malonda apompopompo sindiye apamwamba, koma njira yolumikizira ndikupitiliza kuyenda kwakumtunda, komwe kumatha kufika $ 8,000 kapena kupitilira apo.
Avi Felman-wochita malonda komanso wofufuza pa thumba la crypto block BlockTower-adawona zikwangwani ziwiri zaukadaulo Lachisanu lapitalo zomwe zikuwonetseratu kuti mitengo ya Bitcoin ikonzedwa posachedwa:
Chiwonetsero cha Demark (Tom Demark Sequential) ndichizindikiro chokhazikika munthawi yake, mu tchati cha zoyikapo nyali cha masiku atatu chikuwonekera motsatizana ndikugulitsa. Zomwezi zidachitikanso maulendo awiri apitawa pomwe mtengo wamtengo udatsika pakati pa Marichi ndi Disembala 2019, koma udafika pamwamba pa $ 10,500 koyambirira kwa chaka chino.
Ethereum pakadali pano akuwoneka kuti sangathe kudutsa masiku 50 ndi 200 masiku osunthira a tchati choyikapo nyali cha masiku atatu.
Kuphatikiza apo, a DonAlt anena kuti ngakhale mzere waposachedwa sunkawonetsa "kutsika mwamphamvu", "unali pafupi kwambiri ndi kuwululidwa kwa Bitcoin pamwamba pa $ 10,000." Ananenanso kuti mitengo yamitengo ya Bitcoin inali yosiyana ndi ya mu February Kufanana momwe ziliri pano.
Lipoti la Bloomberg "Bitcoin Maturity Jump" linanena kuti Bitcoin ikukonzekera msika waukulu wamphongo. Mu lipotilo, wolemba adalongosola za kulumikizana pakati pa Bitcoin ndi index ya S&P 500, golide, zero ndi chiwongola dzanja. Malinga ndi lipotilo, kusokonekera kwa msika wamsika kunathandizira kusintha kwa Bitcoin kukhala "golide wa digito".
Mu 2020, zidzaweruzidwa ngati Bitcoin ingasinthe kuchokera kuzinthu zowopsa zowoneka ngati "golide wa digito". Malinga ndi kusakhazikika, kusakhazikika kwa Bitcoin kumawoneka kuti kwatsika, pomwe kusokonekera kwa msika wamsika wayamba kukwera. Kuyankha pamsika kotereku kumathandizanso anthu ambiri kusamutsa ndalama kuzinthu zobisika.